If you haven't read my last post on gamerfrolic.com, it basically goes like this.
Every few years a new generation of gaming starts. Technology advances and we see a jump in the quality of videogames. Today, there are three main forerunners for gaming, Microsoft, Nintendo, and PlayStation. Typically, when a new generation starts, these companies compete to push content out the best they can to rise up in a capitalist market. The trend I've noticed is that if a console releases at too high of a price, no one will buy it if the console's competitor's prices are significantly lower; additionally the console must release with sequels to popular first-party software from the previous generation.
So this is what Sony needs to do with the PlayStation 4 (And Vita) in order to survive in the sequel market.
Hands down, the PS4 needs to attract it's old fans. This means that the PS4 needs to launch with games that PS3 fans loved the most. Games like Uncharted, inFamous, Killzone, Grand Turismo, and even a Ni No Kuni sequel would do it justice, because as it turns out, people buy consoles once they like the franchises on it. It's the only reason to have console exclusivity in the first place and it should be a console's main selling point. (Personally, I disagree with the statistics, but people buy what they want to buy). In other words, the PS4 NEEDS a AAA lineup on release, or suffer the consequences.
I thought a little bit further than just the initial lineup and previous sales. The Vita to the PS4 is going to be like the PSP to the PS3. It's lifespan will be mostly involved with next-gen rather than current. And just like the PSP, some of the best Sony exclusive franchises need to make their way onto the handheld market. Not as cross-platforms, like Sony is pushing, but as a complete shift to allow the new IPs a chance to strive.
God of War, Metal Gear Solid, Corpse Party, Disgaea, Gran Turismo, Final Fantasy, and even Ratchet and Clank, all best selling PSP games. Even as of now PSP is still selling well in Japan. With the fundamental sequel rule, well-known titles are the key to selling the console, even a handheld. It's like the definition of insanity, but
people like losing money to it. With this being said, some of the best PS3/Vita exclusives are New IPs for this gen.

As you can see and if you don't already know, there are a lot of games on PlayStation exclusively. I love the idea of putting these awesome games onto Vita, but I don't see the purpose in buying the Vita version when I can get the PS3 version on blu-ray. Nor do I even see the reason for crowding so many games onto PS3. I really feel the PS3/Vita sales have suffered from first-party over saturation. Since the usual PS3 exclusives do so well on handheld platforms, I think when the initial PS4 lineup is finished, all those old games should move onto development for the Vita.
Think about if for a second. Think of the games already on PSVita and PSP. The best ones are sequels or remakes, Uncharted, God of War, Persona, Disgaea, Persona, MGS, etc. Bottom line is that these games are freaking sexy on Vita. And think about the New IPs for PS3, Uncharted, inFamous, Heavenly Sword, Little Big Planet, Last of Us, Resistance. Point is, most PS3 gamers love these games and they will buy them, even on handheld.
But what about the PlayStation competitors? Can't they do the same thing? Yes. Luckily, Sony has the best first-party support. And secondly, it's going to come down to timing. The next-gen consoles are expected to release sometime this year or next, but the problem is that "consoles" is plural. If both PS4 and nextbox release at the same time, it'll once again cause a market flood and consumers would be forced to pick and choose. This could potentially lead to similar sales figures as this gen for playstation, meaning a really slow start (Which is even worse for those launch title devs).
Like I've mentioned before, it's boiling down to which console is more consumer-friendly. Or, which console is more appealing for the costs. It's like choosing between Pokemon versions, except one would cost more than the other. "HAHA silly Devin, they were released at the same price!" Pokemon did, sure. But if PS4 and Nextbox came out at the same price, with relatively equal appeal, but a person could only purchase one, it'll cause problems on the market.
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| Who wants to bet the PS4 launches 9/22? |
Timing is the key. PS4 needs to launch after 360. This will allow the $250 PS3 to continue to grow on the market while the PS4 has time to grow in development. The longer it takes for PS4 to launch after the nextbox, the more time there will be for development and testing, and the less likely the console market will be saturated by expensive consoles. Waiting for the perfect moment to jump into the 8th gen is crucial to maximizing sales for ALL consoles of the 8th gen.
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| Imagine the jumper is the console, the ropes are money, and the other urban youth are consumers. The urban youth can only afford but so much, so they can only balance but so much at one time. The console has to plan their jumps accordingly to make the money steady or the whole show is ruined. Get it? |
I think Sony would do best trying to follow their claim about the PS3 having a 10-year life-cycle. The console market now is still improving and we gamers are about to see some of the best games to ever be released. I don't mind getting an official announcement for a release, but the actual release for the PS4 should be no sooner than 2015 at the earliest, for maximum content and tech at minimum prices, for the least amount of market struggle, with a strong initial lineup.